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Miguel Cotto vs Canelo Alvarez 2015: Early Prediction, Betting Odds & Tale of the Tape

Miguel Cotto vs Canelo Alvarez

(Photo : Reuters) Miguel Cotto will defend his middleweight titles against Canelo Alvarez on November 21st.

Miguel Cotto (40-4, 33 KOs) versus Saul "Canelo" Alvarez (45-1-1, 32 KOs) is coming soon and to give fight fans a bit on what to expect, here is a concise breakdown of arguably the biggest bout this fall.

Fight Info

What: 12-round championship fight; Cotto defending his WBC, Lineal, and The Ring Middleweight titles

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Catchweight: 155 lbs.

Where: Mandalay Bay Resort & Casino, Las Vegas, Nevada

When: November 21

Live Telecast: HBO pay-per-view


Age: Cotto - 34; Canelo - 25

Height: Cotto - 5-foot-7; Canelo - 5-foot-9

Reach: Cotto - 67 inches; Canelo - 70 ½ inches

Stance: Cotto - Orthodox; Canelo - Orthodox

Wins: Cotto - 40; Canelo - 45

Wins by KO: Cotto - 33; Canelo - 32

KO percentage: Cotto - 0.750; Canelo - 0.681

Based on their profiles, Canelo is naturally the bigger fighter between the two. On paper, his youth, height, and longer reach gives him the advantage in this match, as per Boxing News Online.

However, Cotto's experience, heart, and overall confidence is not to be denied and is noticeably more advanced than that of his young counterpart. The Puerto Rican legend had been in wars with some of the best boxers of this generation, such as Floyd Mayweather Jr., Manny Pacquiao, Shane Mosley, Sergio Martinez, Antonio Margarito, and Joshua Clottey, although his win-loss record amongst the greats is just 4-3 or 57 percent.

When it comes to power, both seemed equal as evidenced by their superior knockout percentages. Although the more important question is who can take the most powerful punches, which in this case should be Canelo.

The Mexican had never been knocked down or visibly hurt in any of his fights before while Cotto had been damaged a number of times especially against Pacquiao and Margarito.

Cotto's wear and tear throughout the years also gives Canelo an advantage.

Betting Odds

According to Bet Boxing, Bovada "has Canelo the favorite at (-225) odds and Miguel Cotto is (+185) underdog."

This figure is quite right because of Alvarez's mentioned advantages above.

Publicity and Prediction

SB Nation's Bad Left Hook reported that the fight is a potential hit even in pay-per-view because of the angle of "Mexico vs Puerto Rico rivalry."

Golden Boy Promotions chief Oscar De La Hoya agrees with the fans' impressions saying that "the world is talking about this fight" and "the rich history between Mexico and Puerto Rico makes this truly exciting."

Indeed, Cotto-Canelo may even surprisingly exceed the earnings of Mayweather-Berto set on September 12th, as reportedly there are still available tickets for the latter fight eight days before it will take place.

Early Prediction: Canelo over Cotto, TKO round 9 or 10

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